【中英文新聞】GDP成長有望？中研院點名五大風險｜美國砸重金！自願離境可拿9.5萬｜全球最大核電廠將重啟｜企業賺不賺錢？隱形成本是關鍵｜你不是嘴饞！是情緒在叫外送｜20251226
目錄
2025 年 12 月 26 日｜HOT 基礎英文新聞｜S1 EP134
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第一則：中研院預估明年GDP成長 點名五大不確定因素
中研院經濟所公布展望，預估台灣今年GDP成長7.41％，並預估明年成長3.71％。研究團隊表示，今年主要由出口與投資帶動，而第四季消費因節慶與汽車減稅而回穩。
展望明年，中研院提醒五大不確定性，包括美國貨幣與貿易政策、大陸經濟復甦力道、地緣政治與供應鏈重組、AI產業化速度，以及台灣勞動與資本配置能否因應產業分化。
Academia Sinica Estimates Next Year’s GDP Growth and Points to Five Major Uncertainties
Academia Sinica’s Institute of Economics released its outlook and estimated that Taiwan’s GDP will grow 7.41% this year, and 3.71% next year. The research team said this year’s growth is mainly supported by exports and investment, while fourth-quarter consumption has stabilized because of holiday spending and a tax cut on car purchases.
Looking ahead to next year, Academia Sinica warned of five uncertainties, including U.S. monetary and trade policies, the strength of China’s economic recovery, geopolitical risks and supply-chain restructuring, the speed of AI industrialization, and whether Taiwan’s labor and capital allocation can adjust to industry changes.
第二則：美國提高自願離境補助至9.5萬元 盼降低驅逐成本
美國政府宣布，若無證移民在今年底前自願離境，可獲得3,000美元補助，並由政府支付旅費。國土安全部表示，申請者需使用「CBP Home」完成程序，並可免除逾期居留的相關罰款。
此金額是先前公布的三倍，目的是降低逮捕與強制遣返的高額成本。新措施有助節省執法資源，但移民團體質疑相關數據與政策效果。目前逮捕與遣返人數仍未達到年度目標，政府同步收緊合法移民管道。
U.S. Raises Voluntary Departure Bonus to Reduce Deportation Costs
The U.S. government announced that undocumented immigrants who voluntarily leave the country before the end of this year may receive a 3,000-dollar bonus, and the government will also cover their travel costs. The Department of Homeland Security said applicants must use the CBP Home app to complete the process and may be exempt from fines related to overstay.
This amount is three times higher than the previous offer, and the goal is to reduce the high costs of arrests and forced deportations. The new measure may help save enforcement resources, but immigration groups question the data and the policy’s effectiveness. Deportation and arrest numbers have not yet reached the annual target, and the government is also tightening legal immigration channels.
第三則：新潟核電廠通過重啟 最快明年1月恢復供電
日本能源政策出現重大變化。新潟縣議會表決通過，支持重啟全球最大的「柏崎刈羽核電廠」，並預計最快可於明年1月下旬恢復供電。此決定有助提升能源安全，但引發居民強烈反對，許多福島核災撤離者擔心悲劇重演。
東京電力公司強調將確保安全，並承諾在未來十年向新潟投入1,000億日圓。政府與業者將面臨如何在能源需求與安全疑慮之間取得平衡的挑戰。
Niigata Approves Restart of Major Nuclear Power Plant, Power May Return Next January
Japan’s energy policy is seeing a major shift as the Niigata Prefectural Assembly approved the restart of the world’s largest nuclear power plant, the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa facility, which may resume power generation as early as late January next year. This decision may help strengthen energy security, but it has triggered strong opposition from residents, and many Fukushima evacuees fear that a similar tragedy could happen again.
Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings said it will ensure safety and promised to invest 100 billion yen in Niigata over the next ten years. The government and the operator will face the challenge of balancing energy needs with public safety concerns.
第四則：找出企業隱形成本 作業價值管理助攻決策
政大會計系講座教授整合平衡計分卡與作業基礎成本管理，提出「作業價值管理」，協助企業把成本細分到各項作業與產品，找出長期虧損與大客戶迷思等經營盲點。
專家指出，台灣企業常低估隱藏成本、誤判獲利來源，透過數據分析，中小企業可以更精準訂價、規劃研發與轉型方向，提升長期競爭力。
Revealing Hidden Business Costs with Activity Value Management
A professor from Department of Accounting, National Chengchi University combined the balanced scorecard and activity-based cost management to propose Activity Value Management, which helps companies break down costs into specific activities and products and identify issues such as long-term losses and dependence on major customers.
Experts said that many Taiwanese companies often underestimate hidden costs and misunderstand their real sources of profit. Through data analysis, small and medium-sized enterprises can set prices more accurately, plan research and development, and shape their transformation strategies to strengthen long-term competitiveness.
第五則：壓力一大就想吃？情緒性飲食真相解析
許多人在壓力或情緒低落時，容易依賴高糖高油食物尋求安慰，形成所謂的情緒性飲食，這並非意志力不足，而是將食物作為情緒調節工具。
專家指出，透過分辨飢餓感來源、誠實覺察進食背後的情緒，以及調整飲食環境降低誘惑，能逐漸建立健康循環，也更能覺察自身飲食選擇。
Why Stress Drives You to Eat? The Truth of Emotional Eating Uncovered
When people feel stressed or emotionally low, many turn to high sugar and high fat foods for comfort, a behavior known as emotional eating. This is not a lack of willpower, but a way of using food to manage emotions.
Experts say that by telling the difference between types of hunger, being honest about the emotions behind eating, and changing the eating environment to reduce temptation, people can gradually build a healthier cycle and become more aware of their food choices.
Let’s wrap up today’s episode. We’ve learned about some important events happening around the world.
Academia Sinica sees steady growth ahead but warns that U.S. policy, China’s recovery, geopolitics, AI, and Taiwan’s industrial adjustment will shape next year’s outlook.
The U.S. boosts bonuses for voluntary departures to save costs, though immigration groups doubt its effectiveness as enforcement results lag and legal pathways tighten.
Japan’s move to restart the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Nuclear Power Plant marks an energy shift but heightens safety concerns among residents.
Activity Value Management helps companies uncover hidden costs and make clearer profit decisions, giving small and medium-sized businesses a stronger path toward long-term competitiveness.
Emotional eating happens when people use food to cope with stress, and learning to recognize hunger and emotions can lead to healthier eating choices.
In the next episode, we will together explore the recent hot news with you in the morning. Don’t forget to come back. Have a nice day and hear me next time. Bye.
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